Focus: After the earthquake, the concept has changed our buyers do?
Focus of the Shanghai real estate network
focus from the real estate earthquake has Over the past 20 days, the face of the strong earthquake, the Chinese people showed great cohesion and solidarity, disaster relief, disaster relief efforts and the breadth of truly reflects the spirit of unity of one mind.
slowed down from the pain after, we found that the earthquake appears from our buyers in all aspects of the concept of an impact. from the whole real estate market, waiting to see since early atmosphere affected by the earthquake is more spread. home buyers began to consider whether it should buy a house value? And never before been noted, advantage of the opportunity to change real estate sector, the focus of attention the industry go to site to discuss the earthquake changed the purchase of our ideas, stay tuned!
welcome to ask questions in advance friends!
topic: earthquake We changed up the purchase idea?
Time: June 3, 2008 PM 14:00 m15: 30
Location: Sohu, the focus of real estate web studio (Hong Kong Plaza 283 Huaihai Zhong Road, Room 2506 )
Guests: Zhu Yongmin Sheng, vice president of Yankee Group
rich off Queensland Real Estate Development Co., Ltd. Shanghai Shen Wu, chairman of the Pudong New Area Li Zhanjun
Real Estate Institute of Health Deputy Secretary-General
new third law firm
】 【Moderator: Members Sohu, the focus of the real estate network of friends, good afternoon everyone, welcome to our time and focus attention similar to the first 53 programs. first to tell you about the focus of our studio today were honored to have distinguished guests , Sheng-based group vice president Zhu Yongmin, Shanghai Shanghai Real Estate Development Co., Ltd. Chairman Wu Guan Fu Kun, deputy secretary general of the Pudong New Area Real Estate Association, and third-Li Zhan Jun Wei a new law firm, the focus of welcome guest!
from Wenchuan earthquake occurred in the past 20 days, the face of the strong earthquake, the Chinese showed great cohesion and solidarity, disaster relief, disaster relief, truly reflects the strength and breadth of the spiritual unity of one mind.
has slowed down from pain after , we found that the earthquake appears from our buyers in all aspects of the concept of an impact. from the whole real estate market, waiting to see since early atmosphere, stretching more affected by the earthquake. home buyers began to consider whether it should buy a house value? the past have never been noted episode, Mr. Zhu Yongmin published in the focus of the blog called Challenge Cup.
So, today we will be two and the real estate industry experts, lawyers go to the scene, let us learn from the scene, the earthquake in the end to what impact the real estate market has brought.
earthquake exacerbated you wait and see ?
Next, the first question we answer this question, after the earthquake, waiting to see whether the overall real estate market has intensified? Li here from the beginning.
Pudong New Area Real Estate Association Deputy Secretary-General Li Zhanjun
【Li Zhanjun】: Personally, I think, after the earthquake, no doubt, the real estate market, or wait and see mood has intensified this market phenomenon. The main reason, one is in some areas, such as a house due to earthquake disaster areas, toppled the need reconstruction, but also keep the needs assessment, but also can not live? need not need to open? can not keep? to buy a house even take into account, I purchased the house construction quality, seismic situation, this is a disaster.
From the whole country has decreased the market to digest, it is an objective fact. Since the earthquake occurred, more people ready to enter the market to buy a house, more consideration is I bought this house, next to can not have good shock resistance? more concerned about the level of market prices over the issue is now concerned about the building structure, technical issues, for example, floor area ratio, is the frame? or brick, or steel? my house, in the future the case of an earthquake, what kind of impact will be?
in the present case, the wait is undoubtedly the market mood increases the facts, but I want to clarify is that this market is to wait and see mood is not entirely caused by the earthquake, holding currency to be purchased, and now waiting to see a large part of the supply of land across the country, the number of new housing starts, housing starts in the construction, completion and acceptance of residential related. In my mind, today, less than digestion, but also reflects less than the overall market supply. Shanghai last year, more than last year's supply of digestive 1,000 million square meters, is a big gap. therefore, can not simply wait and see the real estate market, digest the amount of atrophy, reduced to a simple macro the role of the simple reason attributed to the earthquake.
Sheng-based group vice president, Zhu Yongmin
】 【Zhu Yongmin: I talk about their personal views on the earthquake, because the media reports, so that we can see more complete, true screen. quake these days, I think not only me, many people turned down the evening entertainment, communication evening watching TV, a person's life may not have a few.
view from Sichuan's GDP, accounting for 4.5 of GDP %, and even if half of the market, vibration, and impact of China's GDP is very limited, in fact, the impact on the mind. these two, you said that did not contact it, a little contact, contact where? I want three. The first, when the then a big earthquake, a strong earthquake occurs, it invariably concern the whole country, and we met so good media, then open the newspaper, the leaders of the rescue so quickly, I often look abroad Comments, foreign to our strong views some of the media, newspapers, the performance of the speed of the earthquake relief, the rate of leadership Ye Hao, the negative impact is very small. influence, this is a.
second the development of real estate mayor have been very subtle, to the end of last year, the Government launched the three markets, low-cost housing, affordable housing, real estate, many people in the study, can I access affordable housing? if you can eat a little grain tax? If this coverage, including the media, many people gave this information, since in addition to low-cost housing, but also to solve the low-income people, the Government would like included in the scope of affordable housing, I do not agree with a lot of people wanted to I was not there should be in this? after the fall of the house will, Shenzhen, Guangzhou itself has a number of transactions, and then the earthquake, no doubt demand or potential demand for the delay, delayed on the sidelines. including several months, Pan Shiyi say What century upheaval, Wang Chih-kang died about 50% of real estate, etc. These factors have led to the current market really waiting to see part of the atmosphere, and atmosphere but I think there is no direct relationship. If you come to a tsunami, landslides are like this, of course everyone's attention, after the earthquake focus attention on other aspects less, if there is contact, this has some connection.
new third-party law firm Wei Wei 【New】: I talk about my views. earthquake that thing, the real estate market is certainly influential, but the effect is not great. I think the current Chinese real estate market or in development in accordance with existing laws. because, from the end of last year, the state further tightening macro-control policy, in the first quarter of the CPI index is very high, leading to more intense atmosphere of wait and see. At present, the buyers group, or ought to be two categories, one is occupied population, they should wait and see or wait and see, to buy or buy, and it will not be greatly affected. The second category is investment in the purchase of the customer, when they were last year because of concerns about the overall Chinese economy, including concerns about future price movements, has received a slow the frequency of their investment, coupled with the earthquake, but also the future of the Chinese economy as a whole or the whole trend of prices, the state further tightening macro-control comparison worry, this part of the investment may be reduced. I think, from the the perspective of the whole country, after all, is a small part of Sichuan, we know that house prices rose western badly for some time, like Chengdu, Chongqing, the earthquake, Chengdu, Chongqing, a city of rapid growth in some western speaking, there will be a more serious impact. but we can see, the Central is now the policy, on the one hand, to make a tilt to the affected areas, we can expect that pretty soon, they will usher in a new round of real estate the peak of construction and urban construction. We say, may actually promote the impact of real estate, the impact of the country should be very limited.
】 【Zhu Yongmin: impact on individual cities, Chengdu's real estate certainly affected by large effect, not a little bit of influence, just now we are saying global.
Shanghai Real Estate Development Co., Ltd. Chairman Wu Shen Fu Fu Guan Guan Kun Kun
【】: After the earthquake, waiting to see whether the overall real estate market has intensified ? my opinion, be adjusted locally, will not increase the overall wait and see.
why some local adjustments? Chongqing, Chengdu certainly have to adjust, but also a big adjustment, and why? built the first house, new room, shattered , damaged, sales certainly interrupt, the earthquake will cause a great loss. the whole from the whole country will not increase wait and see. After all, a very small impact, in terms of real estate from the price a whole, from the market is concerned, from the inflection point on, Pak Change of Japanese TV drama, the first death of, there are some conclusions, I think the overall impact will not be increased.
】 【Moderator: We think that the overall will not increase, but Shanghai is not very good look at transactions.
【Zhu Yongmin 】: Shanghai presents a very good situation, before we talk about real estate fell, all to fall, rose up the whole to rise. Now Shanghai is to present structural, road and environmental issues, the price of the house itself problems, some prices rose, some fell, others still queuing up to buy, there are some very low marketing tools, please migrant workers line up, I think Shanghai's housing prices are like stocks, are up and down, I think this is normal.
】 【Moderator: everyone's views, the Shanghai housing prices or the normal in the walk, not much relationship with the earthquake.
【New】 Guardian: Shanghai's real estate market, the relative China is the most mature market, we observe the laws of the real estate market in Shanghai, and the country's interaction, I feel this law is in the process of rising, might be up in the city Shanghai, Shanghai, or start up a up a lot, or other cities around the follow up. I feel down when it has the contrary, all around the first down, fell to a certain extent, the cooling Shanghai, Shanghai may be the final wave down. We note that some time ago the law, I feel like the law is the area in Guangdong, Beijing, relatively large fluctuations in house prices in Shanghai are relatively stabilized, I think you said wait and see may be increased, or the normal rules of a market, not with the earthquake large, after all, so far away from it, was more conceptual.
】 【Fu Kun Kwan: Shanghai is mainly a good foundation and framework 也好. from Shanghai in all aspects, from the real estate development, from design market, from the sales market, norms, producer, administrative licensing, the combination of Shanghai in the whole country can be said that leading the way. I went to study in many places, see the block, relatively speaking, Shanghai is the top. I to a place, I can not say names, where new residential manual and guarantee the quality of new residential and Shanghai, is simply two different things, do not even know they do not understand. I think, between regions to implement at least 15 years to 20 years to implement. Shanghai in terms of the price structure is good.
ordinary home buyers affected by the earthquake?
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【 ],[in Shanghai the market and the Sichuan earthquake affected very little. Shanghai to advance their own development. In my reckoning, the earthquake will only Shanghai people in the purchase choice, consider the more detailed, adding a lot of technical aspects consider the requirements of the house will be more high. in accordance with the terms of this trend, Shanghai's housing prices will be good.
Second, Shanghai has always been a relatively small earthquake in our country areas. This year, although spread to Shanghai However, Shanghai's house also withstood the test, indicating that Shanghai is not the earthquake fault zone and earthquake-prone areas outside the region will exacerbate the favor of the people of Shanghai.
60,70 the last century, Handan, Tangshan influential, Beijing fault zone is very powerful. behind the World Expo, the Olympic Games to be opened, the Olympics is a sprint, the end of 15 days. Expo will have two years time, relative Olympic Games, World Expo is a long-distance running, use the six months ended in Beijing and Shanghai compared to the situation, we also note that much sand in Beijing, the Beijing city a serious water shortage, Beijing's real estate market, a large part is dependent on the central departments of government procurement, and Shanghai this market, the basic is to support the market. Because Shanghai is the largest executive agencies Shanghai Municipal Government, Beijing is relatively speaking, the Beijing municipal government in Beijing is the large number of party and government organs of a small part of the country, the Beijing government procurement is very powerful, is that these sectors build a house, sell. Shanghai's housing prices, land prices in Shanghai to better withstand the test of Shanghai, the Shanghai city location, there are more advantages than in Beijing, I was about temperature, geological conditions, rainfall, wind, etc. conditions.
in my mind, in the long run, housing prices in Beijing over Shanghai, in my mind for granted.
】 【Zhu Yongmin: This question if from a wide range of speaking, after the earthquake, the Sichuan As the former land of abundance will be affected. especially the former Chengdu, considered the most suitable for human habitation, and now the two react, the information in Chengdu, one replaced a considerable portion of the bottom of the high-rise residential, in order to earthquake. this problem, If the whole big business is concerned, I think the whole city of Shanghai will be some subtle movement. you think, the whole of China's information is public, from the perspective of the earthquake, Sichuan earthquake over the Northeast as the center of Tangshan earthquake too, so the flow of the basic elements of people, I think Shanghai will increase the basic elements of movement, of course, requires a process. Shanghai also has a high cost of living, etc., from this side, the staff will increase the flow of elements of the population of Shanghai gathering.
Second, information is now open, we know that Shanghai is among the non-seismic zone, earthquakes are also trying to learn a lot of people, never knew what plate and plate collision. Shanghai, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, this is more suitable for human habitation, from big business point of view, elements of the future will be mobile, such as Jiangsu and Zhejiang, Shanghai, etc., which will form the intensification of the invisible person, house prices will have a role in promoting influence here, not in the short-term.
】 【Li Zhanjun: He is said to have probably the Yangtze River Delta region, to absorb the country's population, or the proportion of the population of Yangtze River Delta region, accounting for the proportion of the trend may be lifting.
【New】 Wei : On the number of customers and buyers of mind. The impact of home buyers in Shanghai in terms of impact and consumer groups are mainly psychological, we all know, Shanghai, relatively soft soil, nothing below board, said it's part of the objective and relatively small, mainly on the psychological level. I noticed that several aspects mainly, we are talking about and the real estate market, one on asset allocation approach that many people join together to buy a house, the earthquake, we also see some of the more tragic by the media situation, the house collapsed, all the family property is a house, are not that many people have such thoughts, the property may be integrated configuration, real estate is the investment in kind, in addition to physical investment also need to have other comprehensive configuration, I think this is about the asset allocation they have such thoughts.
Second, the awareness of the hedge. as we lawyers, found that Chinese consumers in the purchase, the buy insurance is limited. turned out to be a mortgage insurance is mandatory and must be bought. then this policy occurred in the force that can not, and basic Chinese consumers do not buy insurance. and we feel a very interesting situation, any foreign customers, after buying a house the first thing is the insurance, the first thing to do is consult our insurance. I think after the earthquake people conscious about the insurance. We have examined, also written related articles, we have Mortgage insurance does not guarantee the earthquake, the wait can we talk about in depth. by the earthquake, Shanghai hedge awareness of the buyers. Finally, this may be a little further, and demands on the quality of housing, may indeed difference. This watch some ideas, some people were of relatively small, I used to think the higher the better live, high-level vision, the landscape is good, now maybe some people that live in villas of course, is the most secure and comfortable, but also Well, some people have a feeling, some people, after all, Shanghai may be relatively small earthquake.
】 【Li Zhanjun: people are one-sided, in Sichuan, a building fell down, the following are collapsed, the above is located in the upper floors. so it is not higher, the worse may come from above the bottom, the time may be longer.
】 【Zhu Yongmin: from seismic intensity in terms of high-rise will be better.
】 【Li Zhanjun: two rooms, and more may be brick, and some have not the whole beam. may not be single issue, the lower level must be better than worse? not.
】 【Moderator: buyers , customers have been the impact of the earthquake?
】 【Fu Kun off: the earthquake may have to give them a warning, this earthquake, they may have new ideas. they will feel, after two books, the new residential use guide new residential quality guarantee, whether or not to add elements into the earthquake? They will have this requirement.
second earthquake, this entire quality assurance, architecture, design and related quality assurance aspects of the administrative license quality assurance, they may be more concerned about the number. they concern this matter, but also, and they select the room type, price will be flush, they will have this requirement. Price is a very important factor, quality assurance, seismic quality, design quality, the quality of implementation and other aspects of quality, they will have requirements. It is also a revelation to us.
after the earthquake, the developer should do?
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】 【Moderator: We have to talk about the third question, because the buyers of the seismic level of consciousness, from the two developers talk about it, the developer side What sense can remind buyers? your own sense of what can be improved?
】 【Fu Kun Kwan: I is the development of enterprises, worked 10 years. homebuyers, the future level of consciousness seismic the main consideration in the future seismic level buyers as important indicators of the purchase, this is no problem. Now as the development, the key is just what I said, the issue of two books, to add the relevant national and local seismic codes and seismic design Description and construction quality assurance, this may be increased. another one, using the instructions described in the new residential development area of local seismic profiles, and then do more can do some small knowledge of suspension. we have to increase the content.
】 【Moderator: It is now submitted to seismic specifications have mentioned?
】 【Fu Kun Kwan: No, because I was doing real estate development process research, I've done a lot of projects. book City is very standard, and for your whole building, just several of us talked about is the good or the underlying high-level good? the long axis and short axis, group F, the main focus of the center of gravity and the deviation ratio, has a very strict requirements. review of the issue is a veto, can veto the project. earthquake did not meet the specifications did not meet city or state norms, is a veto, and 10 years ago that such a requirement, this is one aspect.
Secondly, today I brought a, July 2001 I did a project, quality assurance, quality inspection record form, in great detail every aspect of pulling out. Second, the quality of the assessment form, Technology and Engineering , the main project, floor construction, windows and doors, coal has a health assessment projects. The third appearance of the item score. supervising engineer has score, each written in very, very small, explain what the problem? the whole of the housing development, After Shanghai, I said this more than a decade, very standard, Shanghai's housing problems do not have to worry about because of the earthquake.
】 【Moderator: Shanghai has been very standard, but buyers informed of the two books where there is no.
】 【Fu Kun Kwan: Yes, from a legal point of view, so from a problem in terms of sales. buyers is to respect the right to know, there are several aspects in this respect, a is that all involved in new residential, home buyers need to have information on where and which aspects of the paper, which side of the administrative license? Yes, should be unconditional. For example, the issue of earthquake, we can say how much Shanghai earthquake level?
We designed this project, the room design is based on a few levels to design, to set? seismic level meets the relevant country or seismic requirements in Shanghai? If you have this requirement, then have to explain that no such needs, in future we also Loushu, contracts, two books which, to give tips related.
】 【Moderator: to a proposal and I hope regulators in the contract which include full?
【Fu Guan Queensland】: regulatory authorities is another matter. Shanghai's regulation is very strict, not one aspect of the regulation, the first, from the earthquake, the design involved in the first place. Second, construction plans, in this earthquake, a construction plan review, access to the Shanghai Quality Supervision can through you to the next procedure. On this issue, the certificate obtained by post, indicating that the entire structure of your system, all aspects of the housing construction, in line with national norms, Shanghai City specifications, construction plans may be issued only to the construction unit, you can construction. quality assurance monitoring in two parts, one is supervision and a quality inspection departments in Shanghai, we often referred to as the Quality Supervision Station, the two departments is worse, from the pile started, in the end plate, the plate, each structural level, technical engineering, the main project, floor work, every every, good, or is qualified to be assessed, there is comment. Each section has the quality approved monitoring station. The second is the certificate produced steel, welding rod, welding reports, certification of cement, stone, brick report, certificate, must provide such information, no such information, make life difficult for the next process.
【Moderator】: Shanghai's quality supervision is very strict, the key is to know people.
】 【Fu Kun Kwan: Yes.
】 【Zhu Yongmin: this issue, I think we have a few ideas must be clear reasons not to do what the developer, the developer is targeting builders, construction of a construction team, a Project Management Company, the earthquake collapsed the house, who is responsible for the problems derived from? I think the developer is no responsibility. I about the contents of two blocks, one, the people form a wrong impression in the mind of the earthquake collapsed houses most of the agricultural residential, agricultural housing is built himself, and no construction supervision, etc., as well as part of Internet users after the will not miss the school, far beyond the power of the network of my medical care, very powerful. Some Internet users, not only to write something online, and put into practical action, there are several places around Kentucky will be. There is a real estate collapse, is also related to the mortgage money, the bank's responsibility. The quality of the school is not in our scope of this discussion, come out of the problem? developers are only two things, one is making land , after the funding decision, choose the most suitable for my supervision, construction, sales, developers that do this things. as if the last Andrew, have fallen out of an airport, and was to be held responsibility for Andrew, he was in fact building design room, and he does not matter. If I do the developers, I will consider what is the problem? later in Chengdu, Chongqing to build a house, I will do more to further the work, I go to the insurance company the development of the insurance business, this what risks? Beijing has been done, and I, and Ren discussed, I think he is justified. developers what risks? is a comprehensive insurance. the insurance company to give you this guarantee housing, construction supervision, supervision, and when payment After what the problem are the insurance company, I take this part of the developers of funds. even delayed the construction team, you accompany the insurance company. quality problems, the insurance company. I think adding such a procedure would, other things I did not do, others required that the contract which include full, the contract is the Trade and Industry Bureau, the most in terms of which I added a few words, is not submitted to my office, and the developers of the relevant, that is, the quality of housing, which is a construction supervision, there is the cost of housing. developers must not do a very clear earthquake.
】 【Moderator: This insurance, housing collapse, each small property owners can get compensation?
】 【Zhu Yongmin: are two different things, the owners of the mortgage no earthquakes, tsunamis, I will have, but not the same rate.
】 【Moderator: You said a comprehensive insurance is submitted, we cover the process have any questions?
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