China Commercial Real Estate and Financial Forum in partnership
& Chinese Federation of Housing founding ceremony of the three Union
3 14 afternoon, the Vanke Co., Ltd. Beijing, vice president and president of Dr. Mao Daqing, the National Business United Chamber of Commerce, the Secretary-General Mr. Zhong Bin, Beijing Eagle Real Estate Group President Dr. Wang Jun, the body of the Olympic Garden Management Group Ltd. Mr. Chen Shun, President Director of more than 150 real estate industry and other celebrities gathered to celebrate the Chinese room to co-operate Three union federation was formally established. at the first experts to discuss This article adapted from the Conference Record live.
round table
Xi Huang Qing (China Housing Association honorary president of the Business Partner, the Beijing Real Estate Development Foundation, President of years): Ladies and gentlemen, please write question board What do you think housing prices in Beijing in 2010 will drop or will it increase? now raised placards to the audience. hh Mao Beijing Vanke total number of projects you are selling, you said up, is to give momentum to do their own projects, or true the rise? because I know you are a postdoctoral North, Mao, or fully representative of the total should be said that the intellectual quality, he is willing to act as the conscience of society. So you conscience, it is really up you?
Mao Daqing (China Federation of Housing to co-operate and Honorary Chairman of China Vanke Company, vice president and president of Beijing): it can not help we two want to rise, it must be objectively it is up to. simply the trend of the last three reasons certainly still have to up, the first reason, is still in short supply during the first half of this year the situation, I think that I do not have to prove to Vanke yesterday opened a project, I do not speak the name of the project, there is suspicion of advertising, but yesterday opened a project, originally planned to push a tower, and the results due to policy constraints, was forced to fully open, the day did not expect all of the basic two buildings sold, and the price two months than the previous one has just opened up a considerable Great piece. shows shortage of state is very clear that if we did not clear in the next two months, more new disk, then open, but in fact there in March to April 35-40 to open a disk, without the disk support so, Beijing has been less than two months the stock of real estate's stock. So still in the first half of a quarter of supply and demand imbalance in the relationship. including the chief has been the number of 27 months from stock to eight months , nine months, up to now left for two months. The key is in the second half of this year, this year worth mentioning about the policy, the trend Ye Hao, in the second half of this year we can see that's new to real estate are more expensive to buy from 08,07 years made out of bread flour. So I guess how much profit enterprises, as the price of flour was placed in it, so can be expected late next year prices are still difficult to stabilize. This is the real estate is definitely up.
second leading cause of Beijing this year for the land we can see a lot of 2,500 hectares, and I generally looked at is the Government's policy. to rate this year than last year for the completion of the high. This year we should not forget the problem that came out this year location of the land, my land can be inferred if these out, then the opportunity to Beijing this year, we may recognize the basic evidence of good to almost, we can see from tomorrow morning, all the way to read on the landscape will be good to come out in June, all the way to say it is good to departments and regions. I believe that after June passed a lot of places will be the land of affordable housing. In the first half of this year can guess, can foresee a thing is a lot of real estate companies in Beijing, in fact, business investment in the adjustment of the focus this year has a lot of the focus moved to Beijing, it is all business for the risk, the investment orientation of the judge determined. It can be inferred holding the first half, I do not believe the number to the king as much as last year, but will still be very intense competition. and this fight will be more focus toward Beijing. So today let me draw the arrow in Beijing I'm such a painting, let the field is another matter.
Third, the supply structure. This year the government later this year, I think the two issues mentioned, the two can be seen, and I say that this year two can be said that the real estate summit. Luntan Real Estate Summit is not what kind of professional and non-professional point of view, but one thing can be inferred, that is, from within the next few years we should make great efforts to adjust the housing supply structure, particularly is affordable housing will greatly be really protected, this I think the Government has come to the point of no choice. from Beijing this year, the supply relationships, its future supply relations, commercial land available space will be of good less and less. me think this thing we all do not have any doubts about this, from a city like Beijing, the future supply of land, reduce the proportion of housing, a large number to the affordable housing, I think this is also nothing wrong But this one we will definitely get a conclusion that the future of housing prices in Beijing only a good market to illustrate the final say, and these things will let go of the Government in the future. I think from the point of view of commercial housing prices, especially by the ability of the supply of land and location capabilities, space control, there is no reason to infer that it will decrease the possibility of gains can only say that there may get some control.
last one I want to say China's macroeconomic judgments pull the entire domestic economy, the greatest potential for the future of a new growth point in the Bohai Sea region, whether we look at the Yangtze River Delta, Pearl River Delta's economic structure, the government vigorously promoted the recent structural transformation, the structure Transformation refers to a lot of weight on the structure of the compound with the structural problem of the accumulation of large, almost all in these two regions, because these two regions is the first area of reform and opening up, the two regions are also facing economic restructuring the largest, most problems are the accumulation of relatively lighter burden, infrastructure is relatively low, the speed will be faster since it is precisely this Feng Shui in a circle to the Bohai Sea. So I guess the pace of development in the Bohai Sea from three to five years is the acceleration of development. precisely the Beijing Real Estate Development at the basin, the core of the Fund into Beijing, the purchasing power tend to Beijing, this is already no adjustment. Therefore, the relationship between all the major series under, I think Beijing commercial housing price in the future, please do not worry it up or down in the end, this is naturally controlled.
some of the representative of the two sessions, I think the future of the statistical division to the breakdown in the end what is affordable housing , real estate is what I think the real estate sub-analysis of all regions of Beijing, or out of the data is flawed, and not have any references. So I think my answer has been given a very good.
Xi Qing Huang : Thank you, General Mao. Vanke is the industry leader, Mao is always price rise is definitely, in fact, not in Beijing to discuss this topic, he said the three, I did understand, the main reason for his land in short supply, Because housing is in short supply of land, housing inventory only two months, so prices have to rise. But we also noted that officials of Ministry of Land and they have some data that Beijing no shortage of land, cover the developers hands. two notes housing construction Jiang Weixin not mentioned, and very tough, not have to drop prices. is very, very harsh. both sides have different views of data do support, in the end who said wrong, or who telling lies, in fact, think together we might think.
Mao always said just a moment the problem stabilize housing prices, the total number of nod, I think you are the returnees, should have their own point of view. so they give you the opportunity to elaborate elaborate your point of view.
were Mary (Hina Group vice president, director of investment funds in the Union): Thank you. Just now, I think Mao Zongji the sense that I wanted to say. real estate, especially in Beijing, due to resource scarce, because Beijing is the Chinese people longing for the place, Ye Hao Chinese world, including some Western people both mean the place they want. so many people think of Beijing, the result of its very scarce land resources because the land on such a large, but many people want to come. So in real estate is definitely on the stability of steadily. As I said, the prices will fall flat, the Beijing municipal government determined to stabilize prices great determination which presents, I forgot number is 50% or 70% to do affordable housing. but that is no longer needed affordable housing in two decades of struggle the people can have a house, made 6000-7000 Money can buy people a square meter in this room. such as the average, the average price will fall, but the overall real estate prices are steadily. Thank you.
Xi Qing Huang: This is the real point of total cases, or an average of prices will decline is to ensure that housing supply has increased, but we want to buy real estate or to rise.
just were always answered a question before I say let everyone think, is the developer of a developer of data, Government to government data, the data in the end who is really? whose data is more convincing? us in the end listen to whom? to throw this topic intermediaries, neither the developer, and not the government area, listen to Chairman Jia how to answer this question.
Wolong Jia (President of the Federation of Chinese co-operating room): My view is that the price rise. we are in Beijing, the Beijing I think that the prices, that house prices in the twenty thousand prices above the current low-income people actually have, and nothing much in between, and that in low-income people could not afford. that two or three million square meters of housing prices, that is to buy one hundred square meters to take the words of a house or two million, is also in terms of high income earners. In order to control the real estate market this year, in order to allow more low-income people to buy a house, so this year, the Beijing government to increase the strength of various social security room including land, including housing, including low-cost housing, affordable housing and so on and so on. After this large, in fact, solve the housing problems of low consumers, but will inevitably increase the social security housing land supply for housing reduce the impact of the chain, it will decrease. houses sell at high prices, reduced the amount of land, this will not lead to house prices continue to rise? that the original people who buy them will buy from the commercial real estate is in high-income people who If the amount of land has decreased, no change in the demand for purchase, finally led to the imbalance of supply and demand for less than demand, leading to rising housing prices. So I think this is the future we call the two sets of Beijing carriage, a social security system the second is commercial system, walking on two legs, two sets of carriage to ensure the healthy development of Chinese real estate. So I guess in this market for Beijing, I view a lot of data on the total gross, and we do not elaborate, but I think the price is up to Beijing, but not rising as fast as last year, housing prices doubled last year's fan, so I think the price is rising.
Xi Qing Huang: You did not answer me problems, who do you think the data is real?
Jia Wolong: I think the developers of the data is real, as Mao always said she wanted to launch the opening to steal the room, and I think this phenomenon exists. But I think government data unreliable, as that house prices rose by 1.5% last year, caused controversy swath of Internet users voice. allowed to say that the land data, survey data are not allowed to say that, do research, I think the current government data Some of the statistics is very casual, and I think some of the data from the practical point of view the developer, that developer of data called market data, I think that is true.
顾云昌 (Department of Housing and Urban Research Association, vice president of residential Journal of Honorary Chairman of the Housing Association to co-operate): now all fighting is not the same figure is the Bureau of Statistics, 1,5, why I have a smooth, because the price is up 1.5,2010 09 years must not exceed 1.5, we can only say that stable. In fact, government data, the market housing authorities around the data and statistical data very big difference, in fact, also gives statistical data, it is useless, such as the country's commercial housing in 2008 sales divided by sales area, may come about more than 3600 million square meters of commercial housing In 2009, the figure is more than 4400, it rose 800 yuan, up 22.4, and he said outside 1.5, so I do not know how the data out. I said the data problems, fighting between the Government.
in addition to a data me tell you, the National Bureau of Statistics said last year supplied thousands of hectares of land developed, but the Bureau of Statistics only thirty hectares, developers buy land for more than thirty thousand hectares, the government bought the land of thousands of hectares, there are more than seventy thousand hectares where to go? do not know. So we are now considering this matter, do not know how it was. So the developers said not enough land, the land sector that we supply a million square kilometers, an increase of thirty-six% how not to use? developers we use less six p.m. few percent, this figure fighting. Finally, we that the market speak, you speak not the government, and now the market speak. Why do two sessions around real estate, have always said that real estate summit hair thing. So the real question of today's discussion from the actual market situation and discuss it.
recent attention please a problem, the goal of national macro-control adjustment to the original proposed increase supply to meet the reasonable needs of the residents. Now the government reports note that the first sentence of the Prime Minister is determined to curb soaring housing prices in some cities, the second sentence is to meet people's basic housing needs. the first sentence and second sentence there is a difference, that is, the President at a reasonable price to achieve a reasonable control of the price, so please everyone's attention and reasonable prices. What is a reasonable price? Beijing's price is reasonable or not? market, how to you make a conclusion, I did not raise objections to you. So in this case how we look at the market, the Government will take actions, how should we deal with developers? The official prices rose too fast obviously, to achieve a reasonable price, and in the future the Ministry of Construction said, the next two decades the pressure on housing prices are still great, but it also said that the Government's determination may be greater. Some people say how Dafa? it said, is not no good, ah, not up does not work, does not control does not work. so it will take time to see what measures the Government, how should we respond? There is a good measure of course, I agree, is now prices should be treated differently, condemnation, or the reunification and the prices are now speaking of the cage. For example, how much money shirt now? can always say one hundred hair, I said two hundred, out of a decade a few, we do not know How much shirt in the end. So we must take the house separately, if both say is meaningless. we talk about high-end or low-end housing, and the other is the large number of policies in future room, security room. recently added two a room, called the two existing homes, the price put, public rental housing, this is between the protection of low-income housing and small and medium size, in a low-cost housing policy between the type of house. If these houses to find out the We look at affordable housing prices is not price, high-end real estate, to distinguish between the end of this, we discuss the full. I think we also should be targeted for future discussions, that is, the right seat. I do not know myself clear? Thank you, .
Xi Qing Huang: Just now, President Gu Jia have done the sum described. Gu president also portrayed a reasonable price system, said house prices so high now is not the problem of high prices but prices should be reasonable, but must be reasonable is that the supply of products to be rich, both in the low-end housing, but also high-end room, so people can realize a Home Ownership.
sum of integrated care from the President Jia, in fact, We listen to understand, let the majority of buyers to buy a house, starting with the market reality, listening to the market, can not listen to the mayor, that the Government is big buyers with a different caliber. If the 09 We listen to some experts say the government or the room to drop suffered a major loss.
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